Will Bernard Arnault be 2nd richest person on December 31?

12%Yes

0 ptsover 24h

ResolvesJan 3, 2027 · in 2 months

The field · 10 outcomes

24h volume$00 trades · From 0 of 1 venue

Total volume$1.1KFrom 0 of 1 venue

Liquidity$1.7K

Open interest—

Markets: 1 · 1 venue, 0 priced
First seen: Sep 2, 2026
Watching: 0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will Bernard Arnault be 2nd richest person on December 31?
88% Nono volume publishedResolution rules
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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	22¢	455	$455	+$355 4.5×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

As of Nov 10, 10:24 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.

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Will Bernard Arnault be 2nd richest person on December 31?

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Probability history

Where this question trades

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