Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?
24h volume$0
Total volume$0
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 7 days
First seenSep 30, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4.5¢ | 2,222 | $2,222 | +$2,122 22.2× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?97% Nono volume publishedResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
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As of Oct 25, 04:43 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.