Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?

32%Yes

1 ptsover 24h

The field · 11 outcomes

24h volume$64

Total volume$3.9K

Liquidity$531

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months

First seenOct 1, 2026

Watching0

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Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

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Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	35¢	286	$286	+$186 2.9×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

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1 venue

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Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?
68% No$64 24h volume
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Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?

Probability history

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Where this question trades

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Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in AI