WI-04 House winner?: Will Republican win the House race for WI-04? Tim Rogers

4%Tim Rogers

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The field · 2 outcomes

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Total volume$1.3K

Liquidity$1

Open interest$1.1K

Markets11 venue, 0 priced

ResolvesJan 4, 2027in 2 months

First seenSep 7, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	3.3¢	3,030	$3,030	+$2,930 30.3×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

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1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will Republican win the House race for WI-04? Tim Rogers
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WI-04 House winner?: Will Republican win the House race for WI-04? Tim Rogers

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics