Who will Trump pardon?: Will Bill Hwang receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?

44%Bill Hwang

0 ptsover 24h

ResolvesJan 21, 2029 · in 2 years

The field · 53 outcomes

24h volume$0

Total volume$295

Liquidity$0

Open interest$172

Markets: 1 · 1 venue, 0 priced
First seen: Sep 7, 2026
Watching: 0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Who will Trump pardon?: Will Bill Hwang receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?
56% No$0 24h volumeResolution rules
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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	44¢	227	$227	+$127 2.3×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

As of Nov 12, 06:07 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.

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Who will Trump pardon?: Will Bill Hwang receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?

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Probability history

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