Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?: Will Friedrich Merz become Chancellor of Germany following the next German federal election?

19%Friedrich Merz

0 ptsover 24h

The field · 6 outcomes

24h volume$0

Total volume$719

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Open interest$719

Markets11 venue, 0 priced

ResolvesSep 26, 2029in 3 years

First seenSep 2, 2026

Watching0

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Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

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Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	20¢	500	$500	+$400 5×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

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1 venue

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Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?: Will Friedrich Merz become Chancellor of Germany following the next German federal election?
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Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?: Will Friedrich Merz become Chancellor of Germany following the next German federal election?

Probability history

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Where this question trades

More in Politics

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics