Which Senate races will be within 5 points?: Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Michigan be decided by 5 percentage points or less?

59%Michigan

4 ptsover 24h

The field · 15 outcomes

24h volume$123

Total volume$4.7K

Liquidity—

Open interest$2.3K

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesDec 18, 2026in 2 months

First seenSep 29, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

Open the market

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	59¢	169	$169	+$69.49 1.7×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Which Senate races will be within 5 points?: Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Michigan be decided by 5 percentage points or less?
59% Michigan$123 24h volume
Resolution rules
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country

Search

Which Senate races will be within 5 points?: Will the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Michigan be decided by 5 percentage points or less?

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics