Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?: Will Gemini be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?

15%Gemini
0 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues

The field · 3 outcomes

  1. Claude18%0
  2. Gemini · this question15%0
  3. ChatGPT6%1
24h volume$236
Total volume$35K
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months
First seenSep 7, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 19Oct 1Oct 12Oct 24Down 9 points on Sep 30
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

No recorded data before Sep 15 in this window.

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Kalshi15¢667$667+$567 6.7×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
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  3. 3Which Companies Will Confirm an IPO in 2026: Anthropic
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  4. 4Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: June 30, 2027
    92%Yes0 pts
  5. 5When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Before Nov 1, 2026
    2%Before Nov 1, 20260 pts

As of Oct 24, 03:58 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.