Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?: Will Claude be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
19%Claude
1 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues
The field · 3 outcomes
24h volume$156
Total volume$79K
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months
First seenSep 7, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
No recorded data before Sep 10 in this window.
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19¢ | 526 | $526 | +$426 5.3× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
2 venuesComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?: Will Claude be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?81% No$156 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
- Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena — Claude
$0 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
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As of Oct 25, 06:49 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.