Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?: Will ChatGPT be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?

6%ChatGPT
1 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues

The field · 3 outcomes

  1. Claude19%1
  2. Gemini15%0
  3. ChatGPT · this question6%1
24h volume$11
Total volume$41.6K
Markets22 venues, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months
First seenSep 7, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 19Oct 1Oct 13Oct 25

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Kalshi7¢1,429$1,429+$1,329 14.3×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
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  5. 5Anthropic IPO Officially Confirmed By: June 30, 2027
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As of Oct 25, 02:47 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.