What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?: Will the tariff rate on People's Republic of China imports be at least 15% on Jan 1, 2027? 15% or above

28%15% or above

0 ptsover 24h

The field · 6 outcomes

24h volume$0

Total volume$1.3K

Liquidity—

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 0 priced

ResolvesJan 8, 2027in 2 months

First seenOct 19, 2026

Watching0

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Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

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Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	99¢	101	$101	+$1.01 1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

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1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?: Will the tariff rate on People's Republic of China imports be at least 15% on Jan 1, 2027? 15% or above
72% No$0 24h volume
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What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?: Will the tariff rate on People's Republic of China imports be at least 15% on Jan 1, 2027? 15% or above

Probability history

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Where this question trades

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Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics