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What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 12, 2026? Magnitude of at least 5.8

Result

Settled on Oct 13, 2026. Markets gave it 50% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

99%Magnitude of at least 5.8

0 ptsover 24h

24h volume$5.1K

Total volume$6.3K

Liquidity—

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesOct 12, 202621 days ago

First seenOct 11, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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1 venue

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What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 12, 2026? Magnitude of at least 5.8
99% Magnitude of at least 5.8$5.1K 24h volume
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What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 12, 2026? Magnitude of at least 5.8

Probability history

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Probability history

Where this question trades

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