Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
62%Yes
4 ptsover 24h
The field · 9 outcomes
24h volume$60
Total volume$59.7K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months
First seenOct 5, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 67¢ | 149 | $149 | +$49.25 1.5× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?62% Yes$60 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
More in Science
- 1Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026: Will Illinois utility-scale net electricity generation from nuclear energy for 2026 be above 97.5 TWh?64%Above 97.5 TWh11 pts
- 2US Measles Cases in 2026? — Above 500094%Yes0 pts
- 3Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?77%Yes9 pts
- 4Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?: Will a human case of Ebola disease in United States be reported before Jan 1, 2027?11%United States1 pts
- 5What named storms will be hurricanes in the Eastern Pacific this year?: Will Xavier be categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific in 2026?8%Xavier67 pts
As of Oct 25, 09:16 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.