SettledScience

What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 10, 2026? Magnitude of at least 6.2

Result

Settled on Oct 12, 2026. Markets gave it 5% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

5%Magnitude of at least 6.2

0 ptsover 24h

24h volume$0

Total volume$4.9K

Liquidity—

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 0 priced

ResolvesOct 10, 202623 days ago

First seenOct 10, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

Open the market

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

stale
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 10, 2026? Magnitude of at least 6.2
95% No$0 24h volume
Resolution rules
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country

Search

What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 10, 2026? Magnitude of at least 6.2

Probability history

Where this question trades

More in Science

Probability history

Where this question trades

More in Science