Washington's 5th District margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Washington's 5th District House election be at least 1 percentage points? Baumgartner, 1+ pts

81%Baumgartner, 1+ pts

1 ptsover 24h

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Markets11 venue, 0 priced

ResolvesNov 3, 2027next year

First seenOct 11, 2026

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Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	85¢	118	$118	+$17.65 1.2×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

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Washington's 5th District margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Washington's 5th District House election be at least 1 percentage points? Baumgartner, 1+ pts
81% Baumgartner, 1+ pts$0 24h volume
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Washington's 5th District margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Washington's 5th District House election be at least 1 percentage points? Baumgartner, 1+ pts

Probability history

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Where this question trades

More in Politics

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics