US nominal GDP growth in 2026: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2026 be above 4.5%?

80%Above 4.5%

0 ptsover 24h

The field · 4 outcomes

24h volume$0

Total volume$490

Liquidity—

Open interest$490

Markets11 venue, 0 priced

ResolvesFeb 4, 2027in 3 months

First seenSep 7, 2026

Watching0

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Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

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Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	80¢*	125	$125	+$25 1.3×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

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1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

US nominal GDP growth in 2026: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2026 be above 4.5%?
80% Above 4.5%$0 24h volume
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US nominal GDP growth in 2026: Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2026 be above 4.5%?

Probability history

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Where this question trades

More in Economy

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Economy