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Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/28 - 10/4): Will there be more than 200 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026? Above 200

Result

Settled on Oct 6, 2026. Markets gave it 7% the day before.

This question has settled. The price shown is final, and the change is the resolution, not a move.

97%Above 200

0 ptsover 24h

24h volume$5.3K

Total volume$21.6K

Liquidity—

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesOct 6, 202626 days ago

First seenSep 26, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will there be more than 200 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026? Above 200
97% Above 200$5.3K 24h volume
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Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/28 - 10/4): Will there be more than 200 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026? Above 200

Probability history

Where this question trades

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Probability history

Where this question trades

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