TIME Person of the Year 2026: Mark Carney

8%Yes

5 ptsover 24h

ResolvesJan 15, 2027 · in 2 months

The field · 26 outcomes

24h volume$162

Total volume$704

Liquidity$1

Open interest$612

Markets: 1 · 1 venue, 1 priced
First seen: Oct 28, 2026
Watching: 0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket US · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket US. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

TIME Person of the Year 2026: Mark Carney
93% No$162 24h volumeResolution rules
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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	16¢	625	$625	+$525 6.3×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

As of Nov 10, 08:49 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.

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TIME Person of the Year 2026: Mark Carney

Probability history

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Probability history

Where this question trades

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