Texas Governor margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Texas be at least 4 percentage points? Hinojosa, 4+ pts

6%Hinojosa, 4+ pts

4 ptsover 24h

The field · 7 outcomes

24h volume$100

Total volume$3.6K

Liquidity$0

Open interest$3.2K

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesNov 3, 2027next year

First seenOct 23, 2026

Watching0

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Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

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Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	10¢	1,000	$1,000	+$900 10×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

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1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Texas Governor margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Texas be at least 4 percentage points? Hinojosa, 4+ pts
94% No$100 24h volume
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Texas Governor margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Texas be at least 4 percentage points? Hinojosa, 4+ pts

Probability history

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Where this question trades

More in Politics

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics