UnclassifiedUnited States

Terraform v. Jane Street: MTD denied?

12%Yes

0 ptsover 24h

24h volume$146

Total volume$23.7K

Liquidity—

Open interest—

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesDec 31, 2027next year

First seenSep 13, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Opinion · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Opinion. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	12.4¢*	806	$806	+$706 8.1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

stale
Terraform v. Jane Street: MTD denied?
50% No$146 24h volume
Resolution rules
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As of Nov 1, 10:01 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.