Stephen Thompson vs Charlie Radtke: Stephen Thompson wins

57%Stephen Thompson

1 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues

ResolvesNov 15, 2026 · in 4 days

The field · 2 outcomes

24h volume$8K0 trades on 1 of 2 venues · From 1 of 2 venues

Total volume$17.2KFrom 1 of 2 venues

Liquidity$11.5K

Open interest$16.6KFrom 1 of 2 venues

Markets: 2 · 2 venues, 1 priced
First seen: Nov 1, 2026
Watching: 0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

2 venues

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Stephen Thompson vs Charlie Radtke: Stephen Thompson wins
57% Stephen Thompsonno volume publishedResolution rules
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Stephen Thompson wins
57% Stephen Thompson$8K 24h volumeResolution rules
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
Best payout	57¢	175	$175	+$75.44 1.8×
	59.1¢	169	$169	+$69.13 1.7×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

As of Nov 10, 09:00 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.

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Stephen Thompson vs Charlie Radtke: Stephen Thompson wins

Probability history

Where this question trades

If you’re right

Probability history

Where this question trades

If you’re right

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