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Social Security COLA for 2028: Will the cost-of-living adjustment applied to Social Security benefits payable for December 2027 be above 3.5%?

23%Above 3.5%

0 ptsover 24h

The field · 7 outcomes

24h volume$0

Total volume$224

Liquidity—

Open interest$200

Markets11 venue, 0 priced

ResolvesOct 20, 2027in 12 months

First seenSep 14, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	31¢	323	$323	+$223 3.2×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Social Security COLA for 2028: Will the cost-of-living adjustment applied to Social Security benefits payable for December 2027 be above 3.5%?
77% No$0 24h volume
Resolution rules
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As of Nov 1, 10:46 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.