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WorldSaudi ArabiaYemenSaudi ArabiaYemen

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?

77%Yes
0 ptsover 24h

The field · 22 outcomes

  1. October 2293%21
  2. October 689%11
  3. October 1689%2
  4. October 1889%6
  5. October 2188%12
  6. October 1788%3
  7. October 2387%15
  8. October 1985%16
  9. October 2783%22
  10. October 482%1
  11. October 2679%15
  12. October 2879%14
24h volume$0
Total volume$0
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesOct 9, 202616 days ago
First seenOct 1, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30Oct 6Oct 12Oct 18Oct 24Down 36 points on Oct 2Up 18 points on Oct 5Down 36 points on Oct 7Up 18 points on Oct 8Down 19 points on Oct 11
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket74¢135$135+$35.14 1.4×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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As of Oct 24, 08:26 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.