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WorldSaudi ArabiaYemenSaudi ArabiaYemen

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4?

82%Yes
1 ptsover 24h

The field · 22 outcomes

  1. October 2292%20
  2. October 1789%4
  3. October 689%11
  4. October 1689%2
  5. October 1889%6
  6. October 2188%8
  7. October 2387%15
  8. October 4 · this question82%1
  9. October 1981%13
  10. October 877%0
  11. October 2774%7
  12. October 2469%7
24h volume$0
Total volume$0
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesOct 5, 202620 days ago
First seenOct 1, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30Oct 6Oct 12Oct 18Oct 24Down 23 points on Oct 2Down 34 points on Oct 3Up 26 points on Oct 8Down 20 points on Oct 11Down 27 points on Oct 23
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket95.8¢104$104+$4.38 1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

More in World

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  1. 1NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
    2%Yes36 pts
  2. 2US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
    79%Yes1 pts
  3. 3NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?
    8%Yes17 pts
  4. 4NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
    18%Yes24 pts
  5. 5US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
    88%Yes5 pts

As of Oct 24, 06:23 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.