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WorldSaudi ArabiaYemenSaudi ArabiaYemen

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 27?

70%Yes
3 ptsover 24h

The field · 22 outcomes

  1. October 1689%1
  2. October 1788%5
  3. October 484%29
  4. October 684%8
  5. October 2283%11
  6. October 2383%13
  7. October 2182%6
  8. October 1882%1
  9. October 877%0
  10. October 27 · this question70%3
  11. October 2469%2
  12. October 3067%3
24h volume$530
Total volume$8K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 28, 2026in 4 days
First seenOct 1, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30Oct 6Oct 12Oct 18Oct 24Down 35 points on Oct 3Up 12 points on Oct 5Up 14 points on Oct 6Down 14 points on Oct 9Down 12 points on Oct 22
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket81¢123$123+$23.46 1.2×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

More in World

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  1. 1NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
    2%Yes18 pts
  2. 2US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
    79%Yes1 pts
  3. 3NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?
    7%Yes16 pts
  4. 4NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
    19%Yes15 pts
  5. 5US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
    87%Yes4 pts

As of Oct 24, 12:13 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.