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WorldSaudi ArabiaYemenSaudi ArabiaYemen

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26?

50%Yes
11 ptsover 24h

The field · 22 outcomes

  1. October 1689%1
  2. October 1788%5
  3. October 484%29
  4. October 684%8
  5. October 2283%11
  6. October 2383%13
  7. October 2182%6
  8. October 1882%1
  9. October 877%0
  10. October 2770%3
  11. October 2469%2
  12. October 3067%3
24h volume$474
Total volume$5.9K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 27, 2026in 3 days
First seenOct 1, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 30Oct 6Oct 12Oct 18Oct 24Down 47 points on Oct 3Down 41 points on Oct 10Up 27 points on Oct 11Down 24 points on Oct 22Up 25 points on Oct 23
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket69¢145$145+$44.93 1.4×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

More in World

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  1. 1NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
    2%Yes18 pts
  2. 2US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
    79%Yes1 pts
  3. 3NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?
    7%Yes16 pts
  4. 4NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
    19%Yes15 pts
  5. 5US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
    87%Yes4 pts

As of Oct 24, 12:13 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.