Reddest House district to elect a Democrat in 2026?: Will the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin, in percentage points, among U.S. House districts won by a Democratic candidate be at least 15 at the November 3, 2026 general election? Trump +15 or more

95%Trump +15 or more

4 ptsover 24h

The field · 8 outcomes

24h volume$0

Total volume$7.5K

Markets11 venue, 0 priced

ResolvesMar 15, 2027in 5 months

First seenOct 19, 2026

Watching0

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Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	98¢	102	$102	+$2.04 1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

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Reddest House district to elect a Democrat in 2026?: Will the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin, in percentage points, among U.S. House districts won by a Democratic candidate be at least 15 at the November 3, 2026 general election? Trump +15 or more
95% Trump +15 or more$0 24h volume
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Reddest House district to elect a Democrat in 2026?: Will the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin, in percentage points, among U.S. House districts won by a Democratic candidate be at least 15 at the November 3, 2026 general election? Trump +15 or more

Probability history

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Where this question trades

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