Reddest House district to elect a Democrat in 2026?: Will the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin, in percentage points, among U.S. House districts won by a Democratic candidate be at least 25 at the November 3, 2026 general election? Trump +25 or more

12%Trump +25 or more

3 ptsover 24h

The field · 8 outcomes

24h volume$4.6K

Total volume$11.1K

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesMar 15, 2027in 5 months

First seenOct 19, 2026

Watching0

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Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	11¢	909	$909	+$809 9.1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

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Reddest House district to elect a Democrat in 2026?: Will the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin, in percentage points, among U.S. House districts won by a Democratic candidate be at least 25 at the November 3, 2026 general election? Trump +25 or more
88% No$4.6K 24h volume
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Reddest House district to elect a Democrat in 2026?: Will the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin, in percentage points, among U.S. House districts won by a Democratic candidate be at least 25 at the November 3, 2026 general election? Trump +25 or more

Probability history

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Where this question trades

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