Reddest House district to elect a Democrat in 2026?: Will the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin, in percentage points, among U.S. House districts won by a Democratic candidate be at least 20 at the November 3, 2026 general election? Trump +20 or more
48%Trump +20 or more
0 ptsover 24h
The field · 8 outcomes
24h volume$2.4K
Total volume$6K
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesMar 15, 2027in 5 months
First seenOct 19, 2026
Watching0
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.
If you’re right
What a stake pays at each venue, before fees$
| Venue | Price | Shares | Pays | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 49¢ | 204 | $204 | +$104 2× |
Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.
Where this question trades
1 venueComparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
- Reddest House district to elect a Democrat in 2026?: Will the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin, in percentage points, among U.S. House districts won by a Democratic candidate be at least 20 at the November 3, 2026 general election? Trump +20 or more52% No$2.4K 24h volumeResolution rulesSet your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
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As of Oct 24, 05:17 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.