Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 14?

4%Yes

8 ptsover 24h

ResolvesNov 15, 2026 · in 4 days

The field · 3 outcomes

24h volume$31.4K111 trades

Total volume$67.7K

Liquidity$41.8K

Open interest—

Markets: 1 · 1 venue, 1 priced
First seen: Nov 8, 2026
Watching: 0

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Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 14?
96% No$31.4K 24h volumeResolution rules
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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	5.8¢	1,724	$1,724	+$1,624 17.2×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

As of Nov 10, 09:15 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.

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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 14?

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