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Politics🇺🇸United StatesUnited States

Oregon Senate Election: Turnout: Above 1.5M

88%Yes
↓4 ptsover 24h

The field · 7 outcomes

  1. Above 1.6M99%↑25
  2. Above 1.7M98%→0
  3. Above 1.5M · this question88%↓4
  4. Above 1.8M86%↓13
  5. Above 2M38%↑8
  6. Above 2.1M27%→0
  7. Above 2.2M4%→0
24h volume$27
Total volume$834
Liquidity—
Open interest$15
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 15, 2027in 2 months
First seenOct 2, 2026
Watching0
Loading…

As of Nov 1, 07:05 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.

Market cap:$2.06B24h vol:$268.5MQuestions:372,978Resolving today:2,676Venues:15
Fear & Greed~50 · NeutralLive
@onPredxy

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket US · All recorded history
Open the market →

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 8Oct 14Oct 20Oct 26Nov 1Down 14 points on Oct 17Up 13 points on Oct 19Up 19 points on Oct 20
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket US. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees
$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket US99¢101$101+$1.01 1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue
Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
  • Polymarket US
    Oregon Senate Election: Turnout: Above 1.5M
    88% Yes$27 24h volume
    Resolution rules →
    Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →

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  3. 3U.S House Midterm Winner: Democratic Party
    94%Yes→0 pts
  4. 42026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?: Will House Control be Republican AND Senate Control be Republican for Feb 2027? R-House, R-Senate
    7%Republicans sweep↑1 pts
  5. 5Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
    26%Yes↑3 pts
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Market prices are not certainties.

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