NY-15 House election: Gonzalo Duran vote percent: Will Gonzalo Duran receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-15 House election?

2%At least 4%

0 ptsover 24h

The field · 4 outcomes

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Total volume$5

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Open interest$5

Markets11 venue, 0 priced

ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 2 months

First seenSep 12, 2026

Watching0

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Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	9¢	1,111	$1,111	+$1,011 11.1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

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NY-15 House election: Gonzalo Duran vote percent: Will Gonzalo Duran receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-15 House election?
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NY-15 House election: Gonzalo Duran vote percent: Will Gonzalo Duran receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-15 House election?

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics