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Economy

Next Fed rate cut?: Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by December 31, 2026? Before 2027

6%Before 2027
→0 ptsover 24h

The field · 5 outcomes

  1. Before July 202885%↑11
  2. Before 202982%→0
  3. Before 202849%↓2
  4. Before July 202728%→0
  5. Before 2027 · this question6%→0
24h volume$10
Total volume$810
Liquidity$0
Open interest$792
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesJan 1, 2029in 2 years
First seenSep 24, 2026
Watching0
Loading…

As of Nov 1, 02:33 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.

Market cap:$2.06B24h vol:$273.2MQuestions:365,396Resolving today:2,519Venues:15
Fear & Greed~55 · NeutralLive
@onPredxy

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history
Open the market →

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 24Oct 3Oct 13Oct 22Nov 1Up 8 points on Oct 9
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees
$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Kalshi7¢1,429$1,429+$1,329 14.3×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue
Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
  • Kalshi
    Next Fed rate cut?: Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by December 31, 2026? Before 2027
    94% No$10 24h volume
    Resolution rules →
    Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →

More in Economy

View category →
  1. 1Another Fed Rate Hike in 2026?
    73%Yes→0 pts
  2. 2Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
    2%Yes→0 pts
  3. 3Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
    28%Yes→0 pts
  4. 4Fed Decision in December: 25 bps Increase
    71%Yes→0 pts
  5. 5Average Wall Street bonus in 2026: Will average Wall Street bonus for 2026 be above $225,000?
    91%Above $225,000↓5 pts
PxPredxy

Newspapers rank stories through editors. Social media ranks them through engagement. Predxy ranks questions through markets: the same question on every venue, collapsed into one number, ordered by the money at risk.

Market prices are not certainties.

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