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Politics

Michigan Senate: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win?: Will Abdul El-Sayed win Muskegon County?

67%Muskegon
→0 ptsover 24h

The field · 7 outcomes

  1. Oakland94%→0
  2. Kent92%→0
  3. Genesee87%↑4
  4. Muskegon · this question67%→0
  5. Grand Traverse64%→0
  6. Saginaw51%→0
  7. Eaton50%→0
24h volume$0
Total volume$759
Liquidity$0
Open interest$520
Markets11 venue, 0 priced
ResolvesDec 1, 2026next month
First seenSep 16, 2026
Watching0
Loading…

As of Nov 1, 02:25 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.

Market cap:$2.06B24h vol:$273.3MQuestions:365,433Resolving today:2,519Venues:15
Fear & Greed~55 · NeutralLive
@onPredxy

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history
Open the market →

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 16Sep 28Oct 9Oct 21Nov 1Up 28 points on Sep 20Down 11 points on Sep 22Up 8 points on Oct 2Up 8 points on Oct 20Down 10 points on Oct 29
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees
$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Kalshi70¢143$143+$42.86 1.4×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue
Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.
  • Kalshi
    Will Abdul El-Sayed win Muskegon County?
    67% Muskegon$0 24h volume
    Resolution rules →
    Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →

More in Politics

View category →
  1. 1Texas Senate winner?: Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas? Ken Paxton
    32%Ken Paxton↑2 pts
  2. 2Texas Senate Election Winner: Ken Paxton (R)
    32%Yes↑2 pts
  3. 3U.S House Midterm Winner: Democratic Party
    94%Yes→0 pts
  4. 42026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?: Will House Control be Republican AND Senate Control be Republican for Feb 2027? R-House, R-Senate
    7%Republicans sweep↑1 pts
  5. 5Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
    25%Yes→0 pts
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Newspapers rank stories through editors. Social media ranks them through engagement. Predxy ranks questions through markets: the same question on every venue, collapsed into one number, ordered by the money at risk.

Market prices are not certainties.

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