Matthew Tkachuk

3%Yes

1 ptsover 24h

The field · 36 outcomes

24h volume$156

Total volume$630

Liquidity$0

Open interest$4.6K

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesJun 24, 2027in 8 months

First seenOct 7, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket US · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Polymarket US. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	50¢	200	$200	+$100 2×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Matthew Tkachuk
97% No$156 24h volume
Resolution rules
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country

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As of Nov 1, 06:32 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.