Maine Senate margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Maine be at least 8 percentage points? Jackson, 8+ pts

12%Jackson, 8+ pts

4 ptsover 24h

The field · 11 outcomes

24h volume$1K

Total volume$2K

Liquidity$0

Open interest$1.7K

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesNov 3, 2027next year

First seenOct 23, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

Open the market

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	15¢	667	$667	+$567 6.7×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Maine Senate margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Maine be at least 8 percentage points? Jackson, 8+ pts
88% No$1K 24h volume
Resolution rules
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country

Search

Maine Senate margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Maine be at least 8 percentage points? Jackson, 8+ pts

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics