Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass): Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 8%? Karen Bass, ≥8%

25%Karen Bass, ≥8%

1 ptsover 24h

The field · 5 outcomes

24h volume$7

Total volume$837

Liquidity—

Open interest$429

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesNov 3, 2027next year

First seenSep 7, 2026

Watching0

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Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	27¢	370	$370	+$270 3.7×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

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1 venue

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Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass): Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 8%? Karen Bass, ≥8%
75% No$7 24h volume
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Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass): Will the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election be above 8%? Karen Bass, ≥8%

Probability history

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Where this question trades

More in Politics

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics