Loading…
Predxy

Search

Type at least two characters.

WorldIsraelLebanonIsraelLebanon

Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26?

96%Yes
7 ptsover 24h

The field · 10 outcomes

  1. October 2498%9
  2. October 2597%11
  3. October 26 · this question96%7
  4. October 2795%6
  5. October 1893%2
  6. October 3091%5
  7. October 2891%0
  8. October 3189%1
  9. October 2981%0
  10. October 615%2
24h volume$21
Total volume$503
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesOct 27, 2026in 2 days
First seenOct 1, 2026
Watching0

Probability history

Open the market

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1Oct 7Oct 13Oct 19Oct 24Up 8 points on Oct 3Down 21 points on Oct 4Down 15 points on Oct 5Up 29 points on Oct 6
▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

$
Side
VenuePriceSharesPaysProfit
Polymarket96¢104$104+$4.17 1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

More in World

View category
  1. 1NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
    2%Yes29 pts
  2. 2US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
    82%Yes6 pts
  3. 3NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
    19%Yes29 pts
  4. 4US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
    90%Yes9 pts
  5. 5Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
    6%Yes0 pts

As of Oct 24, 08:26 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.