HI-01 House election: Ed Case vote percent: Will Ed Case receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 HI-01 House election?

22%At least 74%

1 ptsover 24h

The field · 7 outcomes

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Markets11 venue, 0 priced

ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 2 months

First seenSep 12, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	26¢	385	$385	+$285 3.8×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

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1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

HI-01 House election: Ed Case vote percent: Will Ed Case receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 HI-01 House election?
79% No$0 24h volume
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HI-01 House election: Ed Case vote percent: Will Ed Case receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 HI-01 House election?

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics