Golden Globe Winner: Best Motion Picture - Drama: Will La Bola Negra win a Golden Globe Award for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?

31%La Bola Negra

9 ptsover 24h

The field · 14 outcomes

24h volume$5.4K

Total volume$14K

Liquidity$0

Open interest$12.4K

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesJan 11, 2027in 2 months

First seenOct 28, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	35¢	286	$286	+$186 2.9×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Golden Globe Winner: Best Motion Picture - Drama: Will La Bola Negra win a Golden Globe Award for Best Motion Picture - Drama at the 84th Golden Globe Awards?
69% No$5.4K 24h volume
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As of Nov 1, 11:12 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.