Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (10/30-11/6)?: Above 8.5%

36%Above 8.5%

24 ptsover 24h

24h volume$1.3K

Total volume$1.4K

Liquidity$211

Open interest$777

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesNov 6, 2026in 5 days

First seenOct 30, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

If you’re right

What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	38¢	263	$263	+$163 2.6×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Above 8.5%
64% No$1.3K 24h volume
Resolution rules
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Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (10/30-11/6)?: Above 8.5%

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics