KalshiOpen

Above 8.5%

No64%

Above 8.5%36%

Price checked at Nov 1, 10:29 AM UTC

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24h volume$1.3K

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$211

Spread1%

ResolvesNov 6, 2026in 5 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is above 8.5% at 10:00 AM ET on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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As of Nov 1, 11:06 AM UTC