France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?

8%Yes

1 ptsover 24hVolume-weighted across 1 of 2 venues

The field · 2 outcomes

24h volume$6.7KFrom 1 of 2 venues

Total volume$2.1MFrom 1 of 2 venues

Liquidity$146.2KFrom 1 of 2 venues

Open interest—

Markets22 venues, 1 priced

ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months

First seenOct 18, 2026

Watching0

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Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Polymarket. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
Best payout	9¢	1,111	$1,111	+$1,011 11.1×
	99¢	101	$101	+$1.01 1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

2 venues

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?
92% No$6.7K 24h volume
Resolution rules
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France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?
93% Nono volume published
Resolution rules
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country

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France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?

Probability history

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Probability history

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