California Governor election: Xavier Becerra vote percent: Will Xavier Becerra receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 California gubernatorial election?

89%At least 58%

2 ptsover 24h

The field · 8 outcomes

24h volume$50

Total volume$891

Liquidity$0

Open interest$887

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 2 months

First seenSep 12, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

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Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	89¢	112	$112	+$12.36 1.1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Will Xavier Becerra receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 California gubernatorial election?
89% At least 58%$50 24h volume
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California Governor election: Xavier Becerra vote percent: Will Xavier Becerra receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 California gubernatorial election?

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics