CA-18 House Election Margin of Victory: Democrat 45%+

4%Yes

0 ptsover 24h

The field · 10 outcomes

24h volume$40

Total volume$1.4K

Liquidity$5

Open interest$158

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesJan 15, 2027in 2 months

First seenOct 2, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket US · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket US. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	40¢	250	$250	+$150 2.5×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

CA-18 House Election Margin of Victory: Democrat 45%+
97% No$40 24h volume
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CA-18 House Election Margin of Victory: Democrat 45%+

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics