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PoliticsUnited StatesUnited States

Arkansas Senate margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 12 percentage points? Cotton, 12+ pts

48%Cotton, 12+ pts
17 ptsover 24h

The field · 17 outcomes

  1. Cotton, 2+ pts86%0
  2. Cotton, 4+ pts81%0
  3. Cotton, 8+ pts76%9
  4. Cotton, 10+ pts70%13
  5. Cotton, 6+ pts62%9
  6. Cotton, 14+ pts49%11
  7. Cotton, 12+ pts · this question48%17
  8. Cotton, 16+ pts39%10
  9. Cotton, 28+ pts34%0
  10. Cotton, 18+ pts27%7
  11. Cotton, 32+ pts26%0
  12. Cotton, 20+ pts21%4
24h volume$143
Total volume$1.6K
Liquidity—
Open interest$892
Markets11 venue, 1 priced
ResolvesNov 3, 2027next year
First seenSep 21, 2026
Watching0
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As of Nov 1, 10:51 AM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.