Arizona Secretary of State Election Winner: Adrian Fontes (D)

95%Yes

22 ptsover 24h

The field · 2 outcomes

24h volume$763

Total volume$4.6K

Liquidity$0

Open interest$889

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesNov 18, 2026in 15 days

First seenOct 9, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket US · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Polymarket US. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	97¢	103	$103	+$3.09 1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

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Arizona Secretary of State Election Winner: Adrian Fontes (D)
95% Yes$763 24h volume
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Arizona Secretary of State Election Winner: Adrian Fontes (D)

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics