AR-03 House Election Margin of Victory: Democrat Wins

3%Yes

0 ptsover 24h

The field · 9 outcomes

24h volume$5

Total volume$162

Liquidity$0

Open interest$42

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesJan 15, 2027in 2 months

First seenOct 2, 2026

Watching0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Polymarket US · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Polymarket US. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	27¢	370	$370	+$270 3.7×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

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1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

AR-03 House Election Margin of Victory: Democrat Wins
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AR-03 House Election Margin of Victory: Democrat Wins

Probability history

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Where this question trades

More in Politics

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics