Alaska Senate election: Mary Peltola vote percent (1st Round): Will Mary Peltola receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?

88%At least 46%

0 ptsover 24h

The field · 8 outcomes

24h volume$14

Total volume$1.2K

Liquidity—

Open interest$1.1K

Markets11 venue, 1 priced

ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 2 months

First seenSep 12, 2026

Watching0

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Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

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Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	89¢	112	$112	+$12.36 1.1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

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1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Alaska Senate election: Mary Peltola vote percent (1st Round): Will Mary Peltola receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?
88% At least 46%$14 24h volume
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Alaska Senate election: Mary Peltola vote percent (1st Round): Will Mary Peltola receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election?

Probability history

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Where this question trades

More in Politics

Probability history

If you’re right

Where this question trades

More in Politics