Aaron Wiggins: 15+ points

99%Aaron Wiggins: 15+

—over 24h

ResolvesNov 10, 2026 · 18 hours ago

The field · 40 outcomes

24h volume$1.1K

Total volume$1.1K

Liquidity$1.2K

Open interest$1.1K

Markets: 1 · 1 venue, 1 priced
First seen: Nov 9, 2026
Watching: 0

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities on Kalshi · All recorded history

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▲▼ a move of 8 points or more in a day

Based on market prices from Kalshi. These may differ from Predxy’s combined probability above.

Where this question trades

1 venue

Comparable, not identical. Each venue words the question and its resolution rules its own way: settlement date, source of truth, and edge cases can all differ. Read each venue's rules before treating two prices as the same thing.

Aaron Wiggins: 15+ points
99% Aaron Wiggins: 15+$1.1K 24h volumeResolution rules
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What a stake pays at each venue, before fees

Stake

Side

Venue	Price	Shares	Pays	Profit
	99¢*	101	$101	+$1.01 1×

Every share pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if it loses. Venue fees, and the price moving under a large order, are not included. * Last traded price, not a live quote. Not financial advice.

As of Nov 10, 09:01 PM UTC · Market prices are not certainties.

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Aaron Wiggins: 15+ points

Probability history

Where this question trades

If you’re right

Probability history

Where this question trades

If you’re right

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